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Geohazards
June 18-21, 2006 - Lillehammer, Norway
| Editors: |
, International Centre for Geohazards, Oslo, Norway
, Managing Director, ILF - Consulting Engineers, Innsbruck, Austria
, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
, TU Bergakademie Freiberg, Institut für Geotechnik, Freiberg, Germany
, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA |
The articles for these proceedings are not peer-reviewed.
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Prediction of Complex Systems Using Grey Models
Dirk Proske, University of Life Sciences Vienna, Institute for Mountain Risk, Vienna
P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder, Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Hydraulic Engineering Section
ABSTRACT:
Complexity is an inherent property of the world known. According to Kolmogoroff Randomness and Complexity are connected. Therefore the description of randomness using stochastical procedures has been widely used. Nevertheless other methods might be used to predict complex systems, such as Grey Models.
In this paper the occurrence of extreme water levels along the Dutch north-sea has been investigated using Grey Models. Other applications are possible and have been carried out by the authors, such as identification of damaged elements in reinforced concrete structural elements.
Dirk Proske and P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder, "Prediction of Complex Systems Using Grey Models" in "Geohazards", Farrokh Nadim, Rudolf Pöttler, Herbert Einstein, Herbert Klapperich, and Steven Kramer Eds, ECI
Symposium Series, Volume P7 (2006). http://services.bepress.com/eci/geohazards/29
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