Date of This Version
9-11-2017
Abstract
It is well known that the forestry sector is sensitive to climate change but most studies have examined impacts only through 2100 and warming of less than 4°C. This is the first timber analysis to consider possible climate change impacts out to 2250 and warming up to 11°C above 1900 levels. The results suggest that large productivity gains through 2190 lead to a continued expansion of the global timber supply. However, as carbon fertilization effects diminish and continued warming causes forestland to continue to shrink, warming above 8°C is predicted to become harmful to the forest sector.
Recommended Citation
Favero, Alice; Mendelsohn, Robert; and Sohngen, Brent, "Can the Global Forest Sector Survive 11°C Warming?" (September 11, 2017). Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Working Papers. Paper 1207.
https://services.bepress.com/feem/paper1207